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NVDA
LONGconviction
78
probability
58%
expectancy
+0.64R
horizon
12d
entry
171.20–173.00
invalidation
162.50
targets
190.00 / 201.00
🧪 unvalidated (shadow) — deterministic-desk-stub
Live engine output · deterministic sidecar
no LLMtechnical
LONG 0.88
regime
risk_on 0.23
RSI(14)
85.4
ATR entry
349.53
stop
341.11
target
366.37
expectancy
+0.65R
Computed live by the Python sidecar from a seeded series. R:R 2.00 · clears expectancy gate.
Bull case
- • EMA stack (20>50>200) turned up 6 sessions ago
- • risk-on regime, breadth confirming
- • no earnings inside the 12d horizon
Bear case
- • closest losing case: similar setup failed at resistance (−1.0R)
- • crowded positioning risk into events
- • invalidation is real — respect the stop
ORACLE accuracy on NVDA
signals
7
hit rate
57%
avg R
+0.21R