Learning
Engines earn or lose influence from live performance — bounded, versioned, reversible. If ORACLE isn't improving, this page makes it undeniable.
Ensemble weights & live performance
technicalhit 57% · edge +0.19R · n=41
1.3×
regimehit 61% · edge +0.24R · n=41
1.5×
derivativeshit 54% · edge +0.11R · n=22
1.0×
sentimenthit 49% · edge -0.03R · n=18
0.6×
fundamentalhit 52% · edge +0.05R · n=15
0.9×
sentiment is auto-demoted (negative live edge) — kill-switch armed below its calibration floor.
Champion / challenger
regime-v2 (adds credit spreads)
day 9/21 · +0.06R vs champion
technical target 3.5×ATR
day 4/21 · inconclusive
Last self-review memo
- • Proposed: raise min conviction to 60 for crypto shorts (funding-flip false positives). pending eval
- • Adopted: embargo signals 24h pre-CPI. deployed
- • Rejected: add meme-social velocity engine (no measured edge, high cost). rejected