ORACLEregime neutral +0.18
🧪 SHADOWsidecar 0.0.0
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BTC

LONG
conviction
66
probability
55%
expectancy
+0.41R
horizon
21d
entry
116,200.00–117,800.00
invalidation
108,500.00
targets
132,000.00

🧪 unvalidated (shadow) — deterministic-desk-stub

Live engine output · deterministic sidecar

no LLM
technical
LONG 0.47
regime
risk_on 0.23
RSI(14)
54.4
ATR entry
63,176.43
stop
59,484.34
target
70,560.59
expectancy
+0.65R

Computed live by the Python sidecar from a seeded series. R:R 2.00 · clears expectancy gate.

Bull case

  • • reclaimed 200DMA; funding neutral (not frothy)
  • • OI rising with price — real bid, not squeeze
  • • no major unlocks in window

Bear case

  • • closest losing case: similar setup failed at resistance (−1.0R)
  • • crowded positioning risk into events
  • • invalidation is real — respect the stop

ORACLE accuracy on BTC

signals
7
hit rate
57%
avg R
+0.21R