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BTC
LONGconviction
66
probability
55%
expectancy
+0.41R
horizon
21d
entry
116,200.00–117,800.00
invalidation
108,500.00
targets
132,000.00
🧪 unvalidated (shadow) — deterministic-desk-stub
Live engine output · deterministic sidecar
no LLMSidecar offline — start it with pnpm quant:dev. ORACLE never shows fabricated numbers.
Bull case
- • reclaimed 200DMA; funding neutral (not frothy)
- • OI rising with price — real bid, not squeeze
- • no major unlocks in window
Bear case
- • closest losing case: similar setup failed at resistance (−1.0R)
- • crowded positioning risk into events
- • invalidation is real — respect the stop
ORACLE accuracy on BTC
signals
7
hit rate
57%
avg R
+0.21R