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SOFI
SHORTconviction
58
probability
53%
expectancy
+0.22R
horizon
9d
entry
30.10–30.60
invalidation
32.40
targets
26.50
🧪 unvalidated (shadow) — deterministic-desk-stub
Live engine output · deterministic sidecar
no LLMtechnical
LONG 0.75
regime
risk_on 0.23
RSI(14)
65.5
ATR entry
200.46
stop
195.45
target
210.48
expectancy
+0.65R
Computed live by the Python sidecar from a seeded series. R:R 2.00 · clears expectancy gate.
Bull case
- • lost 50DMA on rising volume
- • RSI rolled from overbought without new high
- • sector relative-strength fading
Bear case
- • closest losing case: similar setup failed at resistance (−1.0R)
- • crowded positioning risk into events
- • invalidation is real — respect the stop
ORACLE accuracy on SOFI
signals
7
hit rate
57%
avg R
+0.21R